Portfolio Management Process
PORTFOLIO:
Portfolio is the
combination of securities such as stocks, bonds and money market instruments. Investment
portfolio is the set of investment vehicles, formed by the investor seeking
to realize its’ defined investment objectives. In other words, Portfolio
- an appropriate mix of or collection of investments held by an
institution or a private individual. The process of blending together the broad
asset classes so as to obtain optimum return with minimum risk is called
portfolio construction. Diversification of investments helps to spread risk
over many assets.
Portfolio management:
Portfolio Management - the art and science of making decisions about investment
mix and policy, matching investments to objectives, asset allocation for
individuals and institutions, and balancing risk vs. performance. Portfolio Management Involves,-Investing
and divesting different, -investment Risk management,- Monitoring and analyzing
returns
Portfolio management is a process encompassing many
activities aimed at optimizing the investment of one’s funds.
Objective of make portfolio:
The portfolio construction and management can satisfy the
following objectives:
WHY PORTFOLIO:
1)
Performance
measurement
2)
Improvement
– learning loop
3)
Discipline
4)
Risk
control
5)
Consistency
6)
Continuity
7)
Selling
tool,
The objectives of portfolio management is to maximize the
return and minimize the risk. These objectives are categorized into:
Basic Objectives
§
Maximize yield,
§
Minimize risk.
|
Subsidiary Objectives
§
Reasonable income on investment
§
Appreciation of capital
§
Safety of the investment and liquidity
§
Termination and marketable facility
|
Scope of portfolio management:
portfolio management is a continues process. It is a dynamic activity. The following are the basic operation of a portfolio management:
portfolio management is a continues process. It is a dynamic activity. The following are the basic operation of a portfolio management:
1.
Monitoring
the performance of portfolio by incorporating the latest market conditions.
2.
Identification
of the investor’s objectives, constraints and preferences.
3.
Making an
evaluation of portfolio income (comparison with targets and achievement).
4.
Making
revision in the portfolio.
5.
Implementation
of the strategies in tune with investment objectives.
Nature of Portfolio Management:
1.
Portfolio
should be constructed according to the investor’s objectives.
2.
Constructed
portfolio shall be reviewed from time to time in view of latest market
developments.
3.
The
portfolio evaluation should be done according to risk and return.
4.
Portfolio
management is a dynamic concept.
5.
It involves
a regular, scientific analysis, right judgment and timely action.
Importance/ Benefits of Portfolio:
ü
It helps to
spread risk over many assets.
ü
It gives
the assurance of obtaining the anticipated return on the portfolio.
ü
It helps in
improving the return through time to time control and portfolio revision.
ü
It helps in
risk control.
Phases of Portfolio Management:
Portfolio management is a process encompassing
many activities aimed at optimizing the investment of one’s funds. Five phases
can be identified as this process:-
1. Security analysis
2. Portfolio Analysis
3. Portfolio Selection
4. Portfolio revision
5. Portfolio Evaluation
1. Security analysis
2. Portfolio Analysis
3. Portfolio Selection
4. Portfolio revision
5. Portfolio Evaluation
Portfolio
construction process:
The diagram shows the process of portfolio
construction:
Commonly, there are two approaches in the construction of
the portfolio of securities viz, traditional approach and Markowitz efficient
frontier approach.
In the tradition approach, investor’s needs in terms of
income and capital appreciation are evaluated and appropriate securities are
selected to meet the needs of the investor.
In the modern approach, portfolios are constructed to maximize the
expected return for a given level of risk. It views portfolio construction in
terms of the expected return and the risk associated with obtaining the
expected return.
Tradition Approach:
The traditional approach basically deals with two major
decisions. They are:
1)
Determining
the objectives of the portfolio
2)
Selection
of securities to be included in the portfolio.
Normally, this is carried out in four to six steps:
1.
Analysis of Constraints:
The constraints normally discussed are: income
needs, liquidity, time horizon, safety, tax consideration and the temperament.
a) Income
Needs: the income needs depend
on the need for income in constant rupees and current rupees. The need for
income in current rupees arises from the investor’s need to meet all or part of
the living expenses. At the same time inflation may erode the purchasing power,
the investor may like to offset the effect of the inflation and so, needs
income in constant rupees.
v Need
for current income: the
investor should establish the income which the portfolio should generate. The
current income need depends upon the entire current financial plan of the
investor. The expenditure required to maintain a certain level of standard of
living and all the other income generating sources should be determined. Once
this info. Is arrived at, it is possible to decide how much income must be
provided for the portfolio of securities.
v Need
for constant income: funds
should be invested in such securities where income from them might increase at
a rate that would offset the effect of inflation. The inflation or purchasing
power risk must be recognized but this does not pose a serious constraint on
portfolio if growth stocks are selected.
b) Liquidity:
if the investor prefer to high
liquidity, then funds should be invested in high quality short term debt
maturity issues such as money market funds, commercial papers and shares that
are widely traded. Keeping the funds in shares that are poorly traded or stocks
in closely held business and real estate lack liquidity. The investor should plan
his cash drain and the need for net cash inflows during the investment period.
c) Safety
of the principal: investing in
bonds and debentures is safer than investing in the stocks. Even among the
stocks, the money should be invested in regularly traded companies of
longstanding. Investing money in the unregistered finance companies may not
provide adequate safety.
d) Time
horizon: is the investment
planning period of the individuals. This varies from individual to individual.
The first stage is the early career stage; at this stage his assets are lesser
than their liabilities. His priority towards investments may be in the form of
savings for liquidity purposes. The investor is young at this stage and has
long horizon of life expectancy with possibilities of growth in income, he can
invest in high-risk and growth oriented investments.
The other stage
of the time horizon is the mid career individual. At this stage, his assets are
larger than his liabilities. He may wish to reduce the overall risk exposure of
the portfolio but, he may continue to invest in high risk and high return
securities. The final stage is the late career or the retirement stage. In this
stage, he shifts his investment to low return and low risk category investment.
e) Tax
consideration: investors in the
income tax paying group consider the tax concessions they could get from their
investment.
f) Temperament: Some investors are risk lovers or takers who
would like to take up higher risk even for low return. While some investors are
risk averse, who may not be willing to undertake higher level of risk even for
higher level of return. The risk neutral investors match the return and the
risk. Hence, the temperament of the investor plays an important role in setting
the objectives.
2.
Determination of objectives: portfolios have the common objectives:
ü Current income
ü Growth in income
ü Capital appreciation
ü Preservation of capital
3.
Selection of portfolio: the selection of portfolio depends on the
various obejectives of the investors.
v Objectives
and asset mix: if the main
objective if getting adequate amount of current income, sixty per cent of the
investment is made on debts and forty per cent on equities. The proportions of
investment on debts and equity differ according to the individual’s
preferences.
v Growth
of income and asset mix: the
investor’s portfolio may consist of 60 to 100 % equities and 0 to 40 % debt
instrument.
v Capital
appreciation and asset mix: for
this the investor’s portfolio may consist of 90 to 100 % equities and 0-10% of
debts.
v Safety
of principal and asset mix: the
investor’s portfolio may consist more of debt instruments and within the debt
portfolio more would be on short term debts.
4.
Risk and return analysis: the traditional approach to portfolio building
has some basic assumptions. First, the individual prefers larger to smaller
returns from securities. To achieve this goal, the investor has to take more
risk. The ability to achieve higher returns is dependent upon his ability to
judge risk and his ability to take specific risks. The investors make a series
of compromises on risk and non-risk factors like taxation and marketability
after he has assessed the major risk categories, which he is trying or
minimize.
5.
Diversification: according to the investor’s need for
income and risk tolerance level portfolio is diversified. In the stock
portfolio, he has to adopt the following steps which are shown in the following
figure:
Assumptions:
The traditional theory is based on the following
assumptions:
1.
It assumes
that the market is inefficient.
2.
It also
thinks that the fundamentalists can take advantage of market inefficiency
situation.
3.
It felt
that the fundamentalists can earn quick profits.
4.
It
considers that the fundamentalists will expect the potential growth of a
particular company for predicting the future trend of the share prices.
Modern approach:
From the list of
stocks quoted at the Bombay Stock Exchange or at any other regional stock
exchange, the investor selects roughly some group of shares. For these stocks
expected return and risk would be calculated. The investor is assumed to have
the objectives of maximizing the expected return and minimizing the risk.
Further, it is assumed that investors would take up risk in a situation when
adequately rewarded for it. This implies that individuals would prefer the
portfolio of highest expected return for a given level of risk. The final step
is asset allocation process that is to choose the portfolio that meets the
requirements of the investor. The risk taker would choose high risk portfolio.
Investor with lower tolerance for risk would choose low level risk portfolio.
The risk neutral investor would choose the medium level risk portfolio.
Assumptions:
Modern portfolio
theory is based on the following assumptions:
1. It is based on assumption of free and perfect flow of information.
2. It believes that markets are perfect and absorbs all information
quickly.
3. The riskiness of a financial asset in portfolio is to be seen in the
context of market related risk or portfolio risk, but not in isolation.
It also
indicates that the returns are the same whenever you enter the market. This
theory uses of Beta for measuring the
market risk.
The difference between Traditional Portfolio Theory
and Modern Portfolio Theory.
Traditional Portfolio Theory
|
Modern Portfolio Theory
|
§ It deals with the evaluation of
return and risk conditions in each security.
§ It is based on measurement of
standard deviation of particular scrip.
§ It assumes that market is
inefficient.
§ It gives more importance to standard
deviation.
|
§ It deals with the maximization of
returns through a combination of different types of financial assets.
§ It is based on mainly
diversification process.
§ It assumes that market is perfect
and all information is known to public.
§ It gives more importance to Beta.
|
The following
are some of the important Modern Portfolio theories:
1. Markowitz Theory of Portfolio Management.
2. Sharpe’s Theory of Portfolio Management.
3. Capital Asset Pricing Model.
Managing the Portfolio:
There are two
approaches to manage the portfolio:
1.
Passive Approach: in the passive
approach the investor would maintain the percentage allocation for asset
classes and keep the security holdings within its place over the establishes
holding period.
2.
Active Approach: in this the investors
continuously assess the risk and return of the securities within the asset
classes and changes them accordingly.
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